Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 35.73%. A win for Colon had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.