Copa Libertadores
Jun 28, 2023 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Rodrigo Aliendro 13' goal
  • Rodrigo Aliendro 13' goal
  • Miguel Borja 90' goal
  • Miguel Borja 90' goal

River Plate vs The Strongest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Jun 8, 2023 1.30am
River Plate 2 - 0 Fluminense

The Strongest

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Jun 8, 2023 3.00am
The Strongest 1 - 2 Cristal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 83.05%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 5.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.18%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for River Plate.

Result

River Plate 83.05% (-0.32)
Draw 11.59% (+0.22)
The Strongest 5.37% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.67% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.7% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 33.3% (+0.59)
Over 3.5 44.93% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 55.07% (+0.68)
Over 4.5 26.24% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 73.76% (+0.59)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 94.11% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 5.89% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 77.42% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 22.58% (+0.50)

The Strongest Goals

Over 0.5 45.34% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 54.66% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 12.32% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 87.68% (+0.05)

Score analysis

River Plate 83.04%
Draw 11.59%
The Strongest 5.37%
River Plate
2-0 @ 12.91% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 12.18% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.12% (+0.19)
4-0 @ 8.63% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 7.8% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.21% (-0.07)
5-0 @ 4.88% (-0.11)
5-1 @ 2.95% (-0.07)
6-0 @ 2.3% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 83.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.51% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 3.22% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 2.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 11.59%
The Strongest
0-1 @ 1.95% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 1.66% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 5.37%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 4, 2023 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Enrique Triverio 25' goal
  • Enrique Triverio 35' goal
  • Gonzalo Castillo 48' goal
  • goal Lucas Beltran 66'