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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 27, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
3 - 1
Banfield

Vegetti (24', 73'), Jara (76')
Jara (39'), Ibacache (81'), Losada (86'), Rebola (90+4')
Jara (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rebola (59' og.)
Remedi (9'), Perez (67'), Maciel (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Banfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensa 2-0 Belgrano
Tuesday, June 13 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 1-4 River Plate
Monday, June 12 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Belgrano 2-0 Banfield

It is hard to look beyond Belgrano against Banfield, due to the home side's consistency on their turf and the visiting side's inability to pull up trees on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.73%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result
BelgranoDrawBanfield
48.02% (-0.504 -0.5) 31.47% (0.531 0.53) 20.51% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 32.25% (-0.968 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
26.6% (-1.178 -1.18)73.4% (1.184 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
10.67% (-0.709 -0.71)89.33% (0.714 0.71)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (-0.90899999999999 -0.91)31.73% (0.914 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85% (-1.058 -1.06)68.15% (1.063 1.06)
Banfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.24% (-0.777 -0.78)52.76% (0.78400000000001 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.5% (-0.501 -0.5)86.5% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 48.01%
    Banfield 20.51%
    Draw 31.46%
BelgranoDrawBanfield
1-0 @ 19.21% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 11.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 48.01%
0-0 @ 16.73% (0.72 0.72)
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.26% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 31.46%
0-1 @ 10.7% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 20.51%

How you voted: Belgrano vs Banfield

Belgrano
93.8%
Draw
6.3%
Banfield
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 9
Belgrano
1-1
Banfield
Aguirre (45')
Altamirano (5'), Lugo (15'), Rigamonti (53'), Luna (69'), Menosse (77')
Carranza (95')
Datolo (21'), Ortiz (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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