Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Jul 7, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
0 - 2
Barracas Central

FT(HT: 0-2)
Calderara (9', 9'), Alvarez (62', 62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Barracas Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions
Last Game: Instituto 1-0 Belgrano
Sunday, July 2 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Barracas Central

All competitions
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 River Plate
Saturday, July 1 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.97%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
BelgranoDrawBarracas Central
62.71% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)23.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)13.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 38.06% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.59% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)59.41% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.22% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)79.78% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)18.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)50.08% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.83% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)53.17% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.24% (-0.023 -0.02)86.76% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 62.7%
    Barracas Central 13.67%
    Draw 23.62%
BelgranoDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 16.67% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
2-0 @ 13.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 62.7%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 9.95% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.33% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 13.67%

How you voted: Belgrano vs Barracas Central

Belgrano
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Barracas Central
10.0%
10