Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 22
Jul 2, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
  • Emmanuel Martinez 41' goal

Instituto vs Belgrano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jun 22, 2023 11.45pm
River Plate 3 - 1 Instituto
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Emmanuel Martinez

Belgrano

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jun 27, 2023 12.00am
Belgrano 3 - 1 Banfield
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 43.7%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Instituto in this match.

Result

Instituto 43.7% (-0.04)
Draw 29.4% (+0.04)
Belgrano 26.9% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.34% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.07% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 64.93% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 16.16% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 83.84% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 6.22% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 93.77% (+0.05)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5 70.33% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 29.67% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 34.28% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 65.71% (+0.10)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5 58.77% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 41.22% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 22.24% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 77.75% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Instituto 43.7%
Draw 29.39%
Belgrano 26.89%
Instituto
1-0 @ 14.86% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.03% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 12.23% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.39%
Belgrano
0-1 @ 10.83% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.8% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 26.89%