Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.