Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Nov 5, 2023 at 11.30pm UK

Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
2 - 1
Defensa

Zapiola (31'), Zuqui (68')
Nunez (63'), Zapiola (73'), Rollheiser (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cardona (74' pen.)
Caceres (58'), Cardona (80'), Sant'Anna (87'), Castellani (90')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions

Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Estudiantes
Saturday, October 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Defensa 2-2 Racing
Wednesday, November 1 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 50.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
50.59% ( -0.13)	26.58% ( 0.02)	22.83% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 45.14% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.65% (

0.05)

58.35% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.04% (

0.04)

78.96% (

-0.04)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.81% (

-0.03)

23.19% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.92% (

-0.05)

57.08% (

0.05)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.77% (

0.15)

41.23% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.24% (

0.13)

77.76% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 50.59%

Defensa y Justicia 22.83%

Draw 26.58%

Estudiantes	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.97% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 50.59%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.21% Total : 22.83%