Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 40.85%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 28.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.41%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.