Copa Sudamericana
Aug 23, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Gil 17' goal
  • Gil 17' goal
  • Bruno Mendez 19' yellowcard
  • Bruno Mendez 19' yellowcard
  • Fabio Santos 30' yellowcard
  • Fabio Santos 30' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodriguez 31'
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodriguez 31'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Rollheiser 71'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Rollheiser 71'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Godoy 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Godoy 90'+1'

Corinthians vs Estudiantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Estudiantes

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.

Result

Corinthians 44.04% (-0.04)
Draw 27.96% (+0.02)
Estudiantes 28% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.64% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.13% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 59.87% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 19.86% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 80.14% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 8.26% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 91.74% (+0.02)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 72.96% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.04% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 37.6% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 62.4% (+0.05)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5 62.55%
Under 0.5 37.45% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.77%
Under 1.5 74.23% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Corinthians 44.04%
Draw 27.94%
Estudiantes 28%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 13.24%
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 44.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 10.12% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.94%
Estudiantes
0-1 @ 9.95% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.88% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 28%