Brasileiro | Gameweek 20

Aug 20, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Cruzeiro
1 - 1
Corinthians

Elias (45', 45')
Arthur (25'), Arthur (25'), Silva (67'), Silva (67'), Jussa (77'), Jussa (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Silva (90+8', 90+8')
Caetano (45+4'), Caetano (45+4'), Moscardo (49'), Moscardo (49'), Biro (54'), Biro (54')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Cruzeiro
Monday, August 14 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Corinthians

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, August 16 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 17.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Corinthians
57.87% ( 0.51)	24.58% ( -0.19)	17.54% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 43.17% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.01% (

0.24)

56.99% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.11% (

0.19)

77.89% (

-0.19)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.38% (

0.29)

19.61% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.44% (

0.47)

51.56% (

-0.47)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.71% (

-0.26)

46.29% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.05% (

-0.2)

81.95% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 57.86%

Corinthians 17.54%

Draw 24.58%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 14.78% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 57.86%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.43% Total : 17.54%