Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Cruzeiro

Athletico PR
3 - 3
Cruzeiro

Madson (41'), Pablo (78'), Fernandinho (87' pen.)
Vidal (15')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Arthur (8', 37'), Wesley (82')
Pepa (16'), Palacios (22'), Cabral (85'), William (87'), Wesley (87')
Pepa (0')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Goias
Sunday, July 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCruzeiro
41.56% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)28.4% (0.032 0.03)30.04% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.46% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.41% (-0.101 -0.1)60.59% (0.1 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.31% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)80.68% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)28.72% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)64.55% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)36.23% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)73.01% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 41.56%
    Cruzeiro 30.04%
    Draw 28.39%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 12.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 41.56%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.4% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.39%
0-1 @ 10.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 30.04%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Cruzeiro

Athletico Paranaense
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Cruzeiro
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 31
Athletico PR
0-0
Cruzeiro
Pereira (25'), Martins (63'), Ruben (93')
Sassa (45')
Sassa (60')
Jul 27, 2019 11pm
Cruzeiro
0-2
Athletico PR

Fred (35')
Jonathan (30' pen.), Guimaraes (77')
Nov 10, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 33
Athletico PR
2-0
Cruzeiro
Cirino (10'), Veiga (22')
Jonathan (17'), Wellington (59'), Pereira (75'), Guimaraes (76')

Henrique (44'), Manoel (54'), Cabral (58'), Edilson (59'), Romero (75'), Sobis (76'), De Arrascaeta (83')
Jul 22, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 14
Cruzeiro
2-1
Athletico PR
De Arrascaeta (66'), Barcos (81')
Mendes (71')
Guilherme (40' pen.)
Guilherme (35'), Bergson (47'), Nikao (90')
Gonzalez (87')
Jul 13, 2017 1.45am
Athletico PR
0-2
Cruzeiro