Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 23, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco
0 - 2
Athletico PR

Vitor Geminiano Cavalieri (35'), Jair (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Christian (71'), Bueno (80' pen.)
Carvalho (36'), Khellven (41'), Fernandinho (58'), Esquivel (70')
Ivaldo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Cruzeiro
Saturday, July 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Athletico PR 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
56.88% ( 0.29)	24.99% ( -0.23)	18.13% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 43.08% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.33% (

0.69)

57.67% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.57% (

0.54)

78.43% (

-0.54)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.74% (

0.39)

20.27% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.39% (

0.62)

52.62% (

-0.61)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.02% (

0.33)

45.98% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.3% (

0.26)

81.71% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 56.88%

Athletico Paranaense 18.13%

Draw 24.99%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.87% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.31% Total : 56.88%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.53% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.49% Total : 18.13%