Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Jul 29, 2023 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Caetano 8' yellowcard
  • Maycon 19' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 62' goal
  • Roger Guedes 73' goal
  • Fausto Vera 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Pec 71'

Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Jul 22, 2023 10.30pm
Bahia 0 - 0 Corinthians
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Yuri Alberto

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Jul 23, 2023 10.30pm
Vasco 0 - 2 Athletico PR
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 49.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result

Corinthians 49.65% (-0.08)
Draw 26.68% (+0.45)
Vasco da Gama 23.67% (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.73% (-1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.97% (-1.84)
Under 2.5 58.03% (+1.84)
Over 3.5 21.28% (-1.47)
Under 3.5 78.71% (+1.47)
Over 4.5 9.08% (-0.88)
Under 4.5 90.91% (+0.88)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 76.52% (-0.82)
Under 0.5 23.48% (+0.82)
Over 1.5 42.5% (-1.20)
Under 1.5 57.5% (+1.20)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 59.77% (-1.38)
Under 0.5 40.23% (+1.38)
Over 1.5 23.13% (-1.28)
Under 1.5 76.86% (+1.28)

Score analysis

Corinthians 49.64%
Draw 26.67%
Vasco da Gama 23.67%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 13.68% (+0.61)
2-0 @ 9.92% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.16)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 49.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 9.45% (+0.65)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.23)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.67%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 8.6% (+0.28)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 23.67%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Feb 21, 2021 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fagner 31' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Talles Magno 31'
  • yellowcard Marcos Junior 86'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Oct 22, 2020 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leandro Castan 26' yellowcard
  • Ribamar 73' goal
  • goal Gustavo Mantuan 23'
  • yellowcard Ederson 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Victor Cantillo 59'
  • goal Henrique 90' (OG)
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Sep 29, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians (São Paulo, São Paulo)
  • Mauro Boselli 45' yellowcard
  • Ralf 59' goal
  • Jadson 73' yellowcard
  • Cassio 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raul 27'
  • yellowcard Gomes Bruno 46'
  • yellowcard Leandro Castan 68'
  • yellowcard Yago Pikachu 69'
  • yellowcard Danilo 94'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
May 4, 2019 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
  • Raul 23' yellowcard
  • Maxi Lopez 39' goal
  • Claudio Winck 85' yellowcard
  • goal Mateus Vital 17'
  • yellowcard Jadson 93'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Nov 17, 2018 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mateus Vital 50' goal
  • Jadson 63' yellowcard
  • Fagner 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Miguel 27'
  • yellowcard Leandro Castan 59'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Jul 29, 2018 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ramon Motta 8' yellowcard
  • Yago Pikachu 45' goal
  • Leandro Desabato 45' yellowcard
  • Breno 79' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Graca 88' yellowcard
  • goal Angel Romero 48'
  • goal Angel Romero 57'
  • goal Jadson 79'
  • goal Angel Romero 93'