Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Corinthians in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Corinthians.