Copa Sudamericana
Aug 2, 2023 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Murillo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Yuri Alberto 57' goal
  • Wesley Gassova 65' goal
  • Wesley Gassova 67' yellowcard
  • Ruan 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge Eduardo Recalde 45'+2'
  • goal Marcos Portillo 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Facundo Mansilla 54'
  • yellowcard Angelo Martino 70'
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 90'+1'

Corinthians vs Newell's Old Boys - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Corinthians in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Corinthians.

Result

Corinthians 48.97% (-0.01)
Draw 27.5% (-0.01)
Newell's Old Boys 23.53% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.45% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.09% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 60.91% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 19.07% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 80.92% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 7.81% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 92.19% (-0.01)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 74.94% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.06% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.26% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.74% (-0.01)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5 57.98% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 42.02% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 21.55% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 78.45% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Corinthians 48.97%
Draw 27.49%
Newell's Old Boys 23.53%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 14.57%
2-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 8.74% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 4.03% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 48.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 10.52% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.79% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.49%
Newell's Old Boys
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.48% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 1.58% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 23.53%