Corinthians
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
2 - 1
Newell's OB

Alberto (57' pen.), Gassova (65')
Murillo (45+2'), Gassova (67'), Ruan (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Portillo (45+4')
Eduardo Recalde (45+2'), Mansilla (54'), Martino (70'), Sforza (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Corinthians and Newell's Old Boys, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 3-1 Vasco
Saturday, July 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-1 Talleres
Friday, July 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Corinthians in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Corinthians.

Result
CorinthiansDrawNewell's Old Boys
48.97% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)23.53% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 43.45% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.09% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.91% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.07% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)80.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (0.0039999999999907 0)25.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.74% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)78.45% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 48.97%
    Newell's Old Boys 23.53%
    Draw 27.49%
CorinthiansDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 14.57%
2-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 48.97%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 10.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 23.53%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Newell's OB

Corinthians
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Newell's Old Boys
10.0%
10