Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

Aug 16, 2023 at 11.30pm UK

Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Corinthians

(Sao Paulo win 3-2 on aggregate)

Rato (13'), Moura (32')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Murillo (68'), Gil (90+9')

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Sao Paulo and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 13 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Corinthians

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Corinthians 3-1 Coritiba
Sunday, August 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.6%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Corinthians
62.3% ( 0.84)	23.5% ( -0.25)	14.2% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 39.5% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.84% (

-0.1)

58.16% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.19% (

-0.07)

78.81% (

0.08)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

0.27)

18.39% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.46% (

0.45)

49.54% (

-0.45)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.4% (

-0.94)

51.6% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.26% (

-0.63)

85.74% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 62.3%

Corinthians 14.2%

Draw 23.5%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 16.07% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 62.3%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.4% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.32% Total : 14.2%