Brasileiro | Gameweek 19

Aug 13, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Pedro (90+6' pen.)
Wesley (24'), Gerson (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moura (38')
Juan (29'), Welington (77'), Jandrei (82'), Junior (85+85'), Nestor (90+1'), Franco (90+5'), Rato (90+11')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Olimpia 3-1 Flamengo
Friday, August 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 San Lorenzo
Thursday, August 10 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Sao Paulo
51.78% ( 0.22)	24.81% ( -0)	23.41% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.7% (

-0.18)

51.3% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.87% (

-0.16)

73.12% (

0.16)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.2% (

0.02)

19.8% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.14% (

0.03)

51.86% (

-0.03)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.29% (

-0.3)

36.71% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.5% (

-0.3)

73.5% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 51.78%

Sao Paulo 23.41%

Draw 24.8%

Flamengo	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 51.78%	1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.41%