Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
1 - 0
Olimpia

Henrique (49')
Rodrigues de Souza (2'), Henrique (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Torres (23'), Fernandez (30'), Ortiz (34'), Salazar (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Olimpia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, July 30 at 1am in Brasileiro

Olimpia

All competitions
Last Game: Olimpia 4-1 Melgar
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 17.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Olimpia win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawOlimpia
62.03% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)17.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.5%62.5% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.42% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)38.33%
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.29% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)73.07% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 62.03%
    Olimpia 17.54%
    Draw 20.43%
FlamengoDrawOlimpia
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.91%
3-0 @ 6.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.6%
4-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.5%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 62.03%
1-1 @ 9.53%
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.51%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.43%
1-2 @ 4.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.7%
1-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 17.54%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Olimpia

Flamengo
76.5%
Draw
0.0%
Olimpia
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2021 11.15pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Flamengo
5-1
Olimpia
Barbosa (30', 77'), Henrique (36'), Arao (49'), Salcedo (55' og.)
Vitinho (65'), Viana (68')
Eduardo Recalde (45')
Sosa (46'), Ojeda (48'), Otalvaro (65'), Gamarra (90')
> Preview
Aug 11, 2021 11.15pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Olimpia
1-4
Flamengo
Torres (45+14')
Ortiz (20'), Orzusa (38'), Gonzalez (42'), Salcedo (50')
De Arrascaeta (16'), Barbosa (45+12' pen., 52'), Vitinho (90+1')
Luis (42'), Henrique (45'), Isla (54'), De Arrascaeta (55')
> Preview