Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Aug 11, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Olimpia
3 - 1
Flamengo

Torres (12', 12'), Ortiz (69', 69'), Bruera (80', 80')
Ortiz (7'), Ortiz (7'), Romana (59'), Romana (59'), Torres (81'), Silva (85'), Silva (85'), Zavala (87'), Zavala (87')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Henrique (8', 8')
Sampaoli (45+45'), Sampaoli (45+45'), Wesley (52'), Wesley (52'), Luis (77'), Luis (77'), Barbosa (79'), Barbosa (79'), Araujo (90+8'), Araujo (90+8')
Sampaoli (52+52'), Sampaoli (52+52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Olimpia and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olimpia

Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Olimpia
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Flamengo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Flamengo
Monday, August 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Olimpia	Draw	Flamengo
35.93% ( 1.53)	25.79% ( 0.32)	38.29% ( -1.85)

Both teams to score 54.93% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.73% (

-1.2)

49.27% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.68% (

-1.1)

71.32% (

1.1)

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45% (

0.33)

26.55% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.25% (

0.44)

61.75% (

-0.44)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.78% (

-1.51)

25.22% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.04% (

-2.13)

59.96% (

2.13)

Score Analysis

Olimpia 35.93%

Flamengo 38.29%

Draw 25.78%

Olimpia	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.93%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.29%