Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Jul 27, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Arena do Gremio

Gremio
0 - 2
Flamengo

(Flamengo win 3-0 on aggregate)

Uvini (32'), Kannemann (51'), Ferreira (54'), Reinaldo (79')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Barbosa (34', 34'), Alves (68' og., 68' og.)
Pereira (33'), Wesley (35'), Rodrigues de Souza (85')

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Gremio and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, July 23 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Flamengo

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 America Mineiro
Saturday, July 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Flamengo
47.58% ( 2.29)	25.25% ( -0.38)	27.16% ( -1.92)

Both teams to score 52.94% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.84% (

0.43)

50.16% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.88% (

0.38)

72.12% (

-0.38)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9% (

1.2)

21.1% (

-1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07% (

1.84)

53.92% (

-1.85)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1% (

-1.24)

32.9% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.52% (

-1.4)

69.47% (

1.39)

Score Analysis

Gremio 47.58%

Flamengo 27.16%

Draw 25.25%

Gremio	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 47.58%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.5% Total : 27.16%