Gremio
Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Arena do Gremio
Flamengo

Gremio
0 - 2
Flamengo


Uvini (32'), Kannemann (51'), Ferreira (54'), Reinaldo (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Barbosa (34', 34'), Alves (68' og., 68' og.)
Pereira (33'), Wesley (35'), Rodrigues de Souza (85')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Gremio and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

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Last Game: Sport 0-4 Gremio
Sunday, December 7 at 7pm in Brasileiro
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Flamengo

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Last Game: PSG 1-1 Flamengo (2-1 pen.)
Wednesday, December 17 at 5pm in Club World Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawFlamengo
47.58% (2.294 2.29)25.25% (-0.375 -0.38)27.16% (-1.924 -1.92)
Both teams to score 52.94% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (0.426 0.43)50.16% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (0.377 0.38)72.12% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (1.202 1.2)21.1% (-1.207 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (1.84 1.84)53.92% (-1.845 -1.85)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (-1.237 -1.24)32.9% (1.23 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52% (-1.398 -1.4)69.47% (1.392 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 47.58%
    Flamengo 27.16%
    Draw 25.25%
GremioDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.199 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.453 0.45)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.273 0.27)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.382 0.38)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.17 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.203 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 47.58%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.405 -0.41)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.38 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 27.16%

How you voted: Gremio vs Flamengo

Gremio
41.7%
Draw
25.0%
Flamengo
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 10.30pm
gameweek 10
Flamengo
3-0
Gremio
Everton (24'), Pedro (65'), Henrique (90+6')
> Preview
Nov 24, 2021 12am
gameweek 2
Gremio
2-2
Flamengo
Borja (76'), Ferreira (82')
Robert (51'), Silva (58'), Campaz (72')
Robert (60'), Brenno (78')
Vitinho (58', 74')
Vitinho (71'), Kenedy (81')
> Preview
Sep 20, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 21
Flamengo
0-1
Gremio

Isla (62'), Henrique (84'), Caio (90+3')
Borja (45+3')
Borja (41'), Thiago (47'), Vanderson (70'), Sarara (85'), Ferreira (85')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2021 11pm
gameweek 23
Gremio
2-4
Flamengo
Souza (40', 85')
Souza (19'), Barbosa (46'), Kannemann (71'), Henrique (87'), Pinares (90+7')
Ribeiro (57'), Barbosa (60'), De Arrascaeta (66'), Isla (90+3')
Henrique (26'), Henrique (55'), Vitinho (90+7')
Aug 19, 2020 11.15pm
gameweek 4
Flamengo
1-1
Gremio
Barbosa (89' pen.)
Luis (34'), Barbosa (34'), Lucas (52')
Pepe (45')
Souza (7'), Kannemann (86'), Geromel (87')
rhs 2.0


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