Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Aug 9, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio do Governo do Estado de Goias (Serra Dourada) (Goiania, Goias)

Goias
0 - 2
Estudiantes

(Estudiantes win 5-0 on aggregate)

Allano (18'), Guilherme (31'), Maguinho (34'), Magno (45'), Hugo (53'), Apodi (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Benedetti (5'), Rollheiser (50')
Zuqui (18'), Andres Fernandez (25'), Rollheiser (34'), Benedetti (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Goias and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Goias

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Goias 1-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, August 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Estudiantes

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Estudiantes 3-0 Goias
Wednesday, August 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Goias had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
Goias	Draw	Estudiantes
34.63% ( -0.01)	27.64% ( -0)	37.72% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.81% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.03% (

56.97% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.13% (

77.87% (

-0)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91% (

-0.01)

31.09% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59% (

-0.01)

67.41% (

0.01)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

0.01)

29.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

0.01)

65.11% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Goias 34.63%

Estudiantes 37.72%

Draw 27.64%

Goias	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.63%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 11.17% 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.72%