Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25

Jul 15, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
3 - 1
Estudiantes

Beltran (2'), de la Cruz (18'), Barco (31' pen.)

FT(HT: 3-0)

Mendez (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estudiantes

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Estudiantes
Wednesday, July 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Estudiantes
67.51% ( 0.01)	19.69% ( -0)	12.79% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.54% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.53% (

-0.01)

46.47% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.25% (

-0.01)

68.75% (

0.01)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.22% (

12.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.92% (

39.08%

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.36% (

-0.02)

46.63% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.79% (

-0.01)

82.21% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

River Plate 67.51%

Estudiantes 12.79%

Draw 19.69%

River Plate	Draw	Estudiantes
2-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 67.51%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.69%	0-1 @ 4.55% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.11% Total : 12.79%