Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 25
Jul 15, 2023 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Lucas Beltran 2' goal
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 18' goal
  • Ezequiel Barco 31' goal
  • goal Mauro Mendez 67'

River Plate vs Estudiantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
San Lorenzo 0 - 0 River Plate
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Pablo Solari

Estudiantes

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 8, 2023 10.00pm
Estudiantes 0 - 0 Racing
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Mauro Boselli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result

River Plate 67.51% (+0.01)
Draw 19.69% (-0.01)
Estudiantes 12.79% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.54% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.53% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 46.47% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 31.25% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 68.75% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 15.54% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.46% (+0.01)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 87.22% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.78%
Over 1.5 60.92% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 39.08%

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5 53.36% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 46.63% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 17.79% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 82.21% (+0.02)

Score analysis

River Plate 67.51%
Draw 19.69%
Estudiantes 12.79%
River Plate
2-0 @ 12.61% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 12.26% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.65% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.45% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 67.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.96% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 19.69%
Estudiantes
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.57% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 12.79%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 23
Oct 6, 2022 1.30am
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Miguel Borja 25' goal
  • Miguel Borja 29' goal
  • Pablo Solari 83' goal
  • Ezequiel Barco 85' goal
  • Matias Suarez 88' goal
Copa Diego Maradona
Oct 31, 2021 11.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leandro Diaz 51' goal
  • Matias Pellegrini 72' yellowcard
  • Fernando Tobio 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Jeremias Fernandez 6'
  • goal Robert Rojas 45'+2'
Copa Diego Maradona
Feb 15, 2021 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fernando Tobio 45'+2' redcard
  • Fabian Noguera 72' yellowcard
  • Mauro Diaz 78' goal
  • Fabian Noguera 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Enzo Perez 19'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Angileri 50'
  • yellowcard Bruno Zuculini 60'
  • goal Matias Suarez 62'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Ponzio 90'+5'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 21
Feb 24, 2020 12.45am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
  • Ivan Gomez 57' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 72' yellowcard
  • Javier Mascherano 73' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Estevez 81' yellowcard
  • goal Rafael Borre 22'
  • yellowcard Rafael Borre 45'
  • goal Matias Suarez 64'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2018 8.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de La Plata (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
  • Fabian Noguera 44' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Fernandez 50' goal
  • yellowcard Santiago Sosa 13'
  • yellowcard Bruno Zuculini 63'