Estudiantes4 - 0Oriente
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, June 21 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, June 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Estudiantes 4-1 Oriente Petrolero
Estudiantes have already secured their spot in the knockout stages of the Sudamericana but should view this match as the perfect opportunity to get back to winning ways after recent struggles in their domestic league. Oriente only have pride to play for on Wednesday night, but we envisage that motivation not being enough for the visitors to avoid a heavy defeat in Buenos Aires. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 81.55%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 5.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.27%) and 1-0 (12.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Oriente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Oriente Petrolero |
81.55% ( 0.45) | 13.27% ( -0.4) | 5.18% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 34.71% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
