Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 81.55%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 5.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.27%) and 1-0 (12.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Oriente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Oriente Petrolero
81.55% ( 0.45)	13.27% ( -0.4)	5.18% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 34.71% (

0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.02% (

1.62)

42.98% (

-1.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.61% (

1.59)

65.39% (

-1.59)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.75% (

0.48)

8.25% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.17% (

1.19)

28.83% (

-1.19)

Oriente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.82% (

0.88)

62.17% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.28% (

0.41)

91.72% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 81.53%

Oriente Petrolero 5.18%

Draw 13.27%

Estudiantes	Draw	Oriente Petrolero
2-0 @ 15.96% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 13.27% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.63) 4-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.18) 5-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.2) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.14) 6-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.15% Total : 81.53%	1-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.26% Total : 13.27%	0-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.3% Total : 5.18%