Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
 

Guabira
0 - 1
Oriente

FT(HT: 0-0)
Correa (73')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guabira and Oriente Petrolero.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guabira

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Last Game: Guabira 3-0 Wilstermann
Friday, March 18 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Oriente Petrolero

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Last Game: Oriente 1-10 Fluminense
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 11.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Oriente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
GuabiraDrawOriente Petrolero
69.18% (1.005 1.01)18.98% (-0.364 -0.36)11.84% (-0.64 -0.64)
Both teams to score 45.91% (-0.8 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)45.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)68.06% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Guabira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (0.28399999999999 0.28)12.09% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.36% (0.59399999999999 0.59)37.64% (-0.592 -0.59)
Oriente Petrolero Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.22% (-1.082 -1.08)47.78% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.94% (-0.811 -0.81)83.07% (0.813 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Guabira 69.17%
    Oriente Petrolero 11.84%
    Draw 18.98%
GuabiraDrawOriente Petrolero
2-0 @ 12.89% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 9.08% (0.293 0.29)
3-1 @ 6.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.79% (0.205 0.2)
4-1 @ 3.54% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.03% (0.108 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.5% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 69.17%
1-1 @ 9.02% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 18.98%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-2 @ 3.33% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 11.84%