Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Jun 8, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Ramon Aguilera Costas

Oriente
1 - 3
Tacuary

Rojas Cespedes (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Valdeci (30'), Nunez (43'), David Villalba Jacquet (78' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Oriente Petrolero and Tacuary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oriente Petrolero

Last Game: Oriente 0-4 Bragantino
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Tacuary

Last Game: Tacuary 0-4 Estudiantes
Thursday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oriente Petrolero win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Tacuary had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oriente Petrolero win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Tacuary win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Oriente Petrolero	Draw	Tacuary
56.21% ( -0.16)	24.33% ( 0.05)	19.46% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 46.92% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.32% (

-0.05)

53.68% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.83% (

-0.04)

75.17% (

0.04)

Oriente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.02% (

-0.08)

18.98% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.48% (

-0.13)

50.52% (

0.13)

Tacuary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.91% (

0.1)

42.08% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.49% (

0.08)

78.51% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Oriente Petrolero 56.2%

Tacuary 19.46%

Draw 24.32%

Oriente Petrolero	Draw	Tacuary
1-0 @ 13.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 56.2%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.46%