Copa Sudamericana
May 2, 2023 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Edson Carius 14' goal
  • Edson Carius 52' goal
  • Elias Aranda 57' goal
  • goal Cristian Alvarez 29'

Tacuary vs Oriente Petrolero - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tacuary

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 1.00am
Estudiantes 4 - 0 Tacuary

Oriente Petrolero

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 18, 2023 11.00pm
Bragantino 5 - 0 Oriente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tacuary win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tacuary win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tacuary would win this match.

Result

Tacuary 41.22% (+0.04)
Draw 27.92% (+0.01)
Oriente Petrolero 30.86% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.08% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.3% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 58.7% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 20.76% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 79.24% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 8.78% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 91.22% (+0.01)

Tacuary Goals

Over 0.5 71.99% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.01% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.35% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.65% (-0.01)

Oriente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5 65.4% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 34.6% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 28.68% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.32% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Tacuary 41.22%
Draw 27.91%
Oriente Petrolero 30.85%
Tacuary
1-0 @ 12.33% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.33% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.85% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 41.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.69% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.91%
Oriente Petrolero
0-1 @ 10.28%
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.85%