Copa Sudamericana
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Aug 2, 2023 11.00pm
3
0
HT :
0
0
FT
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
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-
Guido Carrillo
54'
-
Gaston Benedetti
58'
-
Benjamin Rollheiser
63'
-
Benjamin Rollheiser
84'
-
Joao Magno
34'
-
Bruno Santos
47'
Estudiantes vs Goias - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
Result
Estudiantes
64.41%
▼
(-1.02)
Draw
22.16%
▲
(+0.58)
Goias
13.42%
▲
(+0.44)
Both Teams to Score:
41.09%
▼
(-0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.12%
▼
(-1.27)
Under 2.5
54.87%
▲
(+1.26)
Over 3.5
23.83%
▼
(-1.06)
Under 3.5
76.16%
▲
(+1.05)
Over 4.5
10.62%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 4.5
89.37%
▲
(+0.66)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5
83.53%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 0.5
16.47%
▲
(+0.77)
Over 1.5
53.82%
▼
(-1.41)
Under 1.5
46.17%
▲
(+1.41)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5
49.19%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
50.81%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
14.79%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
85.21%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Estudiantes
64.41%
Draw
22.15%
Goias
13.42%
Estudiantes
1-0
@
15.09%
▲
(+0.35)
2-0 @ 13.61% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.22)
4-1 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 64.41%
2-0 @ 13.61% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.22)
4-1 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 64.41%
Draw
1-1
@
10.21%
▲
(+0.22)
0-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.15%
0-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.15%
Goias
0-1
@
5.67%
▲
(+0.27)
1-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 13.42%
1-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 13.42%