Estudiantes
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
Goias

Estudiantes
3 - 0
Goias

Carrillo (54'), Rollheiser (63', 84')
Benedetti (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Magno (34')
Santos (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Estudiantes and Goias, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-3 Estudiantes
Friday, July 28 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goias

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Goias 1-1 Gremio
Sunday, July 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawGoias
64.41% (-1.012 -1.01)22.16% (0.571 0.57)13.42% (0.435 0.43)
Both teams to score 41.09% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (-1.266 -1.27)54.87% (1.259 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (-1.056 -1.06)76.16% (1.05 1.05)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (-0.773 -0.77)16.47% (0.768 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.82% (-1.409 -1.41)46.17% (1.403 1.4)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.19% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)50.81% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.79% (-0.048 -0.05)85.21% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 64.41%
    Goias 13.42%
    Draw 22.15%
EstudiantesDrawGoias
1-0 @ 15.09% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 13.61% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.18% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.69% (-0.211 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 64.41%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.401 0.4)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.15%
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.261 0.26)
1-2 @ 3.46% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.92% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 13.42%

How you voted: Estudiantes vs Goias

Estudiantes
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Goias
11.1%
9