Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20

Sep 20, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Único

Estudiantes
1 - 2
Defensa

Boselli (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Frias (24'), Rios (56')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Estudiantes
Thursday, September 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Racing Club	14	15	30
2	Estudiantes	13	15	28
3	River Plate	13	18	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
52.2% ( -1.42)	25.81% ( 0.12)	21.99% ( 1.3)

Both teams to score 46.23% (

1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.58% (

0.86)

56.42% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.57% (

0.69)

77.43% (

-0.68)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32% (

-0.24)

21.68% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.18% (

-0.38)

54.82% (

0.38)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.03% (

1.85)

40.97% (

-1.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.47% (

1.61)

77.53% (

-1.61)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 52.2%

Defensa y Justicia 21.99%

Draw 25.81%

Estudiantes	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.58% ( -0.55) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.2%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.23% Total : 21.99%