Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16

Aug 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Único

Estudiantes
1 - 0
Patronato

Castro (8')
A. Pineiro (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Guasone (83')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Patronato.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Estudiantes 1-0 Union
Monday, August 22 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Racing Club	14	15	30
2	Estudiantes	13	15	28
3	River Plate	13	18	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 58.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estudiantes in this match.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Patronato
58.78% ( 0.04)	23.95% ( -0.09)	17.27% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 44.36% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.88% (

0.37)

55.12% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.63% (

0.3)

76.37% (

-0.31)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.44% (

0.15)

18.56% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.19% (

0.26)

49.81% (

-0.26)

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.47% (

0.28)

45.53% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.65% (

0.22)

81.35% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 58.77%

Patronato 17.27%

Draw 23.94%

Estudiantes	Draw	Patronato
1-0 @ 14.22% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 58.77%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.59% Total : 23.94%	0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.27%