Patronato
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Aug 13, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella
San Lorenzo

Patronato
3 - 2
San Lorenzo

Kruspzky (45+3'), Estigarribia (46'), Giani (49')
Castro (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vombergar (11'), Castro (59' og.)
Elias (15'), Hernandez (24'), Mendez (45+5')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Patronato

Last Six:
Last Game: Banfield 0-0 Patronato
Saturday, August 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

San Lorenzo

Last Six:
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 Estudiantes
Sunday, August 7 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.72%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Patronato would win this match.

Result
PatronatoDrawSan Lorenzo
38.72% (-0.121 -0.12)29.99% (0.106 0.11)31.29% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 41.69% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.58% (-0.318 -0.32)65.42% (0.318 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.81% (-0.222 -0.22)84.18% (0.221 0.22)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16% (-0.241 -0.24)32.83% (0.242 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6% (-0.27 -0.27)69.4% (0.271 0.27)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06% (-0.166 -0.17)37.93% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29% (-0.162 -0.16)74.7% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Patronato 38.72%
    San Lorenzo 31.28%
    Draw 29.98%
PatronatoDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 13.87% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.72%
1-1 @ 13.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.45% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.98%
0-1 @ 12.07% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 31.28%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 6pm
San Lorenzo
1-2
Patronato
Ojeda (71' og.)
Fernandez (64')
Rodriguez (17'), Gudino (67')
Leys (25'), Kruspzky (31'), Castro (42'), Geminiani (81')
Aug 30, 2021 8.45pm
San Lorenzo
3-0
Patronato
Fernandez (4'), Zapata (16'), Di Santo (49' pen.)
Cerutti (53'), Gattoni (78')

Cobos (7'), Geminiani (48'), Pardo (88')
Dec 1, 2019 8.10pm
San Lorenzo
2-0
Patronato
Gaich (4', 22')
Palacios (92')

Avalos (31'), Diaz (51'), Aruga (63'), Tarragona (78')
Sep 21, 2018 11pm
San Lorenzo
3-2
Patronato
Gaich (7'), Rodriguez (76'), Mussis (88')
Mussis (56'), Merlini (61'), Rodriguez (77')
Ledesma (14'), Carabajal (19')
Bravo (79')
rhs 2.0


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