Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14

Nov 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
3 - 0
Defensa

Gonzalez (29', 62'), Velazquez (55')
Vangioni (64'), Mendez (72'), Chiaverano (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Caceres (49'), Lopez (72'), Escalante (90')
Malatini (81')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions

Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions

Last Game: Defensa 0-1 San Lorenzo
Sunday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 45.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
45.14% ( 0.35)	28.53% ( -0.15)	26.32% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 43.1% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.46% (

0.37)

62.54% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.87% (

0.27)

82.13% (

-0.27)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.27% (

0.36)

27.72% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.71% (

0.46)

63.29% (

-0.46)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.64% (

0.04)

40.36% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.02% (

0.03)

76.98% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Newell's Old Boys 45.14%

Defensa y Justicia 26.32%

Draw 28.53%

Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.69% Total : 45.14%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.53%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 26.32%