Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.74%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.9%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.