Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.31%. A draw had a probability of 32.6% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 29.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (6.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.32%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.