Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.53%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.