Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.