Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.