Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (12.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huracan in this match.