Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Internacional (Brasil)

River Plate
2 - 1
Internacional

Solari (65', 79')
Fernandez (28'), Gonzalez Pirez (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valencia (45+1')
Bustos (20'), Mercado (56'), Aranguiz (62'), Cardoso (69'), Henrique (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Internacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Racing
Saturday, July 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Internacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Cuiaba
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 16.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawInternacional
59.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04)23.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)16.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.6% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (0.012999999999998 0.01)53.15% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (0.012 0.01)74.72% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.52% (0.019000000000005 0.02)17.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.03% (0.034000000000006 0.03)47.97% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)44.73% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.28% (-0.02 -0.02)80.72% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 59.72%
    Internacional 16.97%
    Draw 23.29%
River PlateDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 13.63%
2-0 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 3.01% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.24%
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 59.72%
1-1 @ 10.97%
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 16.97%

How you voted: River Plate vs Internacional

River Plate
100%
Draw
0.0%
Internacional
0.0%
13
Head to Head
May 8, 2019 1.30am
Group Stage
River Plate
2-2
Internacional
Alvarez (35'), Pratto (93')
Lollo (58'), Pratto (80')
Sobis (44', 59')
Sobis (44'), Moledo (94'), Cuesta (94')
Apr 3, 2019 11.15pm
Group Stage
Internacional
2-2
River Plate
Lopez (18'), Edenilson (31')
D'Alessandro (39'), Edenilson (41'), Lopez (45'), Dourado (71')
Pratto (42' pen.), De La Cruz (61')
Martinez (29'), De La Cruz (65'), Montiel (69'), Mayada (94')