Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda

Internacional
3 - 1
River Plate

Mercado (70'), Patrick (78')
Aranguiz (58'), Vitao (63'), Wanderson (65'), Patrick (81'), Rochet (86')
FT
(aet)
Rojas (90')
Armani (53'), Solari (58'), Gonzalez Pirez (77')
Internacional win 9-8 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Internacional and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%).

Result
InternacionalDrawRiver Plate
37.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02)25.75% (0.011000000000003 0.01)37.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.12% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)49.05% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)71.13% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.7% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)60.62% (0.012 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)25.82% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.055 -0.05)60.78% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 37.23%
    River Plate 37.02%
    Draw 25.74%
InternacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.02%

How you voted: Internacional vs River Plate

Internacional
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
River Plate
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2023 1am
Round of 16 1st Leg
River Plate
2-1
Internacional
Solari (65', 79')
Fernandez (28'), Gonzalez Pirez (45')
Valencia (45+1')
Bustos (20'), Mercado (56'), Aranguiz (62'), Cardoso (69'), Henrique (90+2')
May 8, 2019 1.30am
Group Stage
River Plate
2-2
Internacional
Alvarez (35'), Pratto (93')
Lollo (58'), Pratto (80')
Sobis (44', 59')
Sobis (44'), Moledo (94'), Cuesta (94')
Apr 3, 2019 11.15pm
Group Stage
Internacional
2-2
River Plate
Lopez (18'), Edenilson (31')
D'Alessandro (39'), Edenilson (41'), Lopez (45'), Dourado (71')
Pratto (42' pen.), De La Cruz (61')
Martinez (29'), De La Cruz (65'), Montiel (69'), Mayada (94')