MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 01:08:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 13, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
2 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Tarragona (52'), Abaldo (60')
Saravia (22'), Enrique (28'), Cabral (33'), Gallo (46'), Castro (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (41')
Castro (18'), Gomez (25'), Aquino (33'), Guidara (70')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnasia 1-2 Independiente
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 River Plate
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.46%) and 1-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawVelez Sarsfield
32.23% (-0.376 -0.38) 30.09% (-0.09 -0.09) 37.69% (0.462 0.46)
Both teams to score 41.66% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.45% (0.218 0.22)65.55% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.72% (0.148 0.15)84.27% (-0.152 -0.15)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.7% (-0.156 -0.16)37.3% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.91% (-0.153 -0.15)74.09% (0.151 0.15)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45% (0.41199999999999 0.41)33.55% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81% (0.448 0.45)70.19% (-0.453 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 32.22%
    Velez Sarsfield 37.68%
    Draw 30.07%
GimnasiaDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.34% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 32.22%
1-1 @ 13.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 12.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 30.07%
0-1 @ 13.66% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.46% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.68%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs Velez Sarsfield

Gimnasia
14.3%
Draw
28.6%
Velez Sarsfield
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 1
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Gimnasia
Janson (26'), Bou (54', 57')
Enrique (67')
Aug 14, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Velez Sarsfield
1-1
Gimnasia
Osorio (72')
Caseres (32'), Garayalde (61'), Pratto (78'), Perrone (90+1'), Mulet (90+9')
Morales (75')
Cardozo (70')
Sep 14, 2021 1am
May 8, 2021 7.30pm
First Phase
Gimnasia
0-5
Velez Sarsfield

Morales (20'), Melluso (43'), Perez Garcia (59'), Coronel (70')
Melluso (78')
Tarragona (12'), Centurion (42', 44'), Bouzat (84'), Almada (85')
Nov 28, 2020 10.20pm
Group Stage
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Gimnasia

Pitton (56'), Ortega (57')
Coronel (22')
Goltz (67'), Melluso (70'), Garcia (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!