Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2020 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 1
Gimnasia


Pitton (56'), Ortega (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coronel (22')
Goltz (67'), Melluso (70'), Garcia (80')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Velez Sarsfield and Gimnasia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.43%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawGimnasia
52.14%28.03%19.82%
Both teams to score 38.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.62%65.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.84%84.15%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4%25.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51%60.49%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.43%48.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.36%83.64%
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 52.14%
    Gimnasia 19.82%
    Draw 28.02%
Velez SarsfieldDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 16.94%
2-0 @ 11.54%
2-1 @ 8.34%
3-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 3.79%
4-0 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.37%
4-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 52.14%
0-0 @ 12.43%
1-1 @ 12.23%
2-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 8.98%
1-2 @ 4.42%
0-2 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 19.82%