Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.