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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
2 - 1
Rosario

Tarragona (44', 55' pen.)
Bolivar (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cervera (21')
O'Connor (23')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Rosario Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huracan 2-0 Gimnasia
Wednesday, September 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Independiente
Wednesday, September 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawRosario Central
37.41% (0.528 0.53) 29.74% (0.023 0.02) 32.85% (-0.554 -0.55)
Both teams to score 42.66% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.6% (-0.137 -0.14)64.4% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.53% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)83.47% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (0.26600000000001 0.27)33.12% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (0.294 0.29)69.72% (-0.298 -0.3)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.79% (-0.473 -0.47)36.21% (0.467 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27% (-0.482 -0.48)72.99% (0.47799999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 37.41%
    Rosario Central 32.85%
    Draw 29.73%
GimnasiaDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.74% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 37.41%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 11.99% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.73%
0-1 @ 12.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 32.85%

Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 9
Rosario
3-1
Gimnasia
Veliz (22', 82'), Martinez (60')
Jun 24, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 5
Rosario
0-1
Gimnasia

Almada (27'), Tanlongo (69'), Baez (72')
Sosa (79')
Melluso (30')
Jul 29, 2021 10.45pm
Second Phase
Gimnasia
1-0
Rosario
Morales (36')
Manuel Insaurralde (43')

Avila (58'), Lo Celso (89')
Feb 15, 2020 10.45pm
Gameweek 20
Rosario
1-0
Gimnasia
Ribas (12')
Rinaudo (75'), Pereyra (81'), Martinez (90')

Garcia (42'), Coronel (60'), Cuadra (63'), Melluso (78'), Aleman (86')
Sep 23, 2018 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Gimnasia
1-1
Rosario
Silva (48' pen.)
Silva (27'), Rinaudo (35')
Gil (37')
Zampedri (39'), Ruben (63')
rhs 2.0
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