Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	San Lorenzo
46.18% ( -0.61)	28.76% ( 0.31)	25.05% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 41.63% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.08% (

-0.76)

63.91% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.87% (

-0.55)

83.12% (

0.55)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

-0.68)

27.84% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.56% (

-0.87)

63.44% (

0.87)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.69% (

-0.16)

42.3% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.3% (

-0.14)

78.7% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 46.18%

San Lorenzo 25.05%

Draw 28.75%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 15.06% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.62% Total : 46.18%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.75%	0-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.12% Total : 25.05%