Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Platense had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.32%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.