Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 42.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.