Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Tigre has a probability of 31.64% and a draw has a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.65%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest Tigre win is 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.42%).