Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13

Nov 12, 2023 at 10pm UK

Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
4 - 1
Union

Passerini (63', 89'), Barinaga (70'), Jara (85')
Mino (12'), Barinaga (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pardo (65')
Mosqueira (19'), Paz (39')
Mosqueira (51')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions

Last Game: Belgrano 0-3 Tigre
Tuesday, November 7 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Union

All competitions

Last Game: Union 0-0 Lanus
Sunday, November 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 41.72%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Union had a probability of 28.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result
Belgrano	Draw	Union
41.72% ( -0.35)	29.65% ( -0.01)	28.63% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 41.61% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.95% (

0.14)

65.05% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.07% (

0.1)

83.92% (

-0.1)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.15% (

-0.13)

30.84% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.87% (

-0.15)

67.12% (

0.15)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.17% (

0.37)

39.83% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.5% (

0.34)

76.49% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Belgrano 41.71%

Union 28.62%

Draw 29.64%

Belgrano	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 14.44% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.25% Total : 41.71%	1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.64%	0-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.41% Total : 28.62%