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Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
Defensa y Justicia

Sarmiento
2 - 3
Defensa

Manuel Insaurralde (31'), Diaz (40')
Calcaterra (46'), Garnier (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Molinas (66'), Togni (76', 81')
Tripichio (30'), Fiermarin (80')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Sarmiento
Thursday, February 1 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 3-0 Platense
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 35.35%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 2-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (13.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
SarmientoDrawDefensa y Justicia
35.35% (-0.337 -0.34) 30.87% (0.235 0.23) 33.77% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 39.89% (-0.575 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.26% (-0.678 -0.68)67.74% (0.67999999999999 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.24% (-0.454 -0.45)85.76% (0.455 0.45)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (-0.604 -0.6)36.28% (0.605 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-0.617 -0.62)73.07% (0.61799999999999 0.62)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.6% (-0.306 -0.31)37.39% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.82% (-0.304 -0.3)74.18% (0.30499999999999 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 35.35%
    Defensa y Justicia 33.77%
    Draw 30.86%
SarmientoDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.75% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 35.35%
0-0 @ 13.56% (0.33 0.33)
1-1 @ 13.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.86%
0-1 @ 13.34% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 33.77%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Defensa
1-1
Sarmiento
Duarte (15')
Solari (21'), Pratto (75')
Fontana (58')
Quiroz (62')
Jul 23, 2023 10.45pm
Gameweek 26
Defensa
3-0
Sarmiento
Tripichio (11'), Barbona (54'), Echevarria (90+3')

Mendez (66'), Rosso (85')
Mendez (88')
Jul 15, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 8
Sarmiento
2-0
Defensa
Quiroga (33'), Toledo (90+3' pen.)
Rasmussen (35'), Castro (66')
Rasmussen (84')

Cardona (28'), Dominguez (32'), Frias (71')
Apr 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Sarmiento
2-1
Defensa
Brea (35'), Arismendi (45+1')
Arismendi (27')
Ayala (31' og.)
Colombo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Defensa
4-2
Sarmiento
Tripichio (51'), Francisco Fernandez Martinez (84')
Chicco (58'), Salvareschi (69'), Bazzana (90')
rhs 2.0
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