Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3

Feb 6, 2024 at 10pm UK

Estadio Eva Peron de Junin

Sarmiento
2 - 3
Defensa

Manuel Insaurralde (31'), Diaz (40')
Calcaterra (46'), Garnier (61')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Merentiel (18'), Benedetto (23'), Molinas (66'), Togni (76', 81')
Tripichio (30'), Fiermarin (80')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions

Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Sarmiento
Thursday, February 1 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions

Last Game: Defensa 3-0 Platense
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 35.35%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 2-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (13.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
35.35% ( -0.34)	30.87% ( 0.23)	33.77% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 39.89% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.26% (

-0.68)

67.74% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.24% (

-0.45)

85.76% (

0.45)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.71% (

-0.6)

36.28% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.93% (

-0.62)

73.07% (

0.62)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.6% (

-0.31)

37.39% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.82% (

-0.3)

74.18% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 35.35%

Defensa y Justicia 33.77%

Draw 30.86%

Sarmiento	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 35.35%	0-0 @ 13.56% ( 0.33) 1-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.86%	0-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.77% Total : 33.77%