Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.