Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Guillermo Laza

Deportivo Riestra
1 - 2
Velez Sarsfield

Ortiz (23')
Fabbiani (19'), Celiz (29'), Ortiz (49'), Herrera (63'), Machado (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Romero (69'), Lobato (90+1')
Gomez (18'), Gomez (57')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Deportivo Riestra and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Riestra

All competitions

Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 0-3 River Plate
Sunday, February 11 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-1 Gimnasia
Saturday, February 10 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.83%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 30.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 1-2 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.03%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Deportivo Riestra	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
30.12% ( -1.64)	31.05% ( 0.26)	38.83% ( 1.38)

Both teams to score 38.85% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.34% (

-1)

68.66% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.63% (

-0.66)

86.37% (

0.66)

Deportivo Riestra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.3% (

-1.86)

40.7% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.71% (

-1.72)

77.29% (

1.72)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.51% (

0.34)

34.5% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.79% (

0.37)

71.21% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Riestra 30.12%

Velez Sarsfield 38.83%

Draw 31.04%

Deportivo Riestra	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.31% Total : 30.12%	0-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.5) 1-1 @ 13.43% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.04%	0-1 @ 14.94% ( 0.68) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.83%